UFC 326 – Picks and Predictions are here 🔥 While the “BMF” title rematch between Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira serves as the marquee attraction for UFC 326 in Las Vegas, the supporting main card offers far more than mere window dressing. On Saturday night at the T-Mobile Arena, the Octagon will play host to a collection of high-stakes matchups that bridge the gap between emerging phenoms and battle-hardened veterans, with major divisional implications on the line across three weight classes.
With our deep dive into the BMF title rematch between Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira already complete, it’s time to shift our focus to the rest of the high-stakes matchups on this long-awaited card.
Caio Borralho (-256) VS Reinier De Ridder (+210)
Both athletes return to the Octagon following recent setbacks, with the victor set to reignite their trajectory toward a middleweight title shot. Caio Borralho enters the matchup as the betting favorite. A logical positioning given Reinier de Ridder’s recent struggles to meet fan expectations. A primary concern for the former two-division champion is his conditioning. In his bout against Gerald Meerschaert, de Ridder’s cardio appeared compromised, showing a significant drop-off in output during the later rounds. While he seemed to manage his energy better in subsequent outings, the endurance issues resurfaced in his loss to Brendan Allen, ultimately costing him the fight.
On the other side of the pairing, Borralho looks to bounce back from a loss to Nassourdine Imavov. Imavov is currently operating at his absolute peak and is viewed by many as a nearly insurmountable force in the division on his march toward a title shot. Borralho struggled to find the tactical answers for the Frenchman’s style, dropping four rounds on two of the judges’ scorecards and managing to secure only a single round in his favor.
One potential advantage for de Ridder in this contest is the three-round format. The shorter duration may allow him to manage his gas tank more effectively and maintain a higher pace without the risk of fading in the championship rounds.
Caio Borralho is defined by his calculated, composed approach inside the Octagon. He is a disciplined tactician who strictly adheres to a game plan, refusing to be baited into his opponent’s rhythm. Expect Borralho to dictate the pace from the outside, utilizing a diverse array of striking combinations, heavy low kicks, and elite distance control to bank rounds. While he is unlikely to initiate grappling against a specialist like Reinier de Ridder, Borralho possesses the defensive grappling acumen to remain competitive should the fight hit the canvas.
In contrast, de Ridder’s path to victory lies in closing the distance and engaging in the clinch. He will look to stifle Borralho’s movement, searching for opportunities to land damaging knees, elbows, and short, sharp strikes in close quarters.
However, the statistical battle favors the Brazilian. While de Ridder thrives on the ground, his successful takedown accuracy sits at a modest 30%. Facing Borralho’s robust 76% takedown defense, “The Dutch Knight” faces a steep uphill battle in bringing this fight to the mat. If the fight remains standing or pinned against the fence, de Ridder’s win probability drops significantly; controlling Borralho against the cage and landing meaningful damage is a formidable task that few have mastered.
Ultimately, this pairing suggests that Borralho viewed de Ridder as a favorable stylistic matchup to solidify his status as the next undisputed title contender. Given de Ridder’s underwhelming performance in his last outing, Borralho enters this contest with the momentum and the technical tools to dictate where the fight takes place.
Final Pick and Prediction : Caio Borralho by decision +115
Gregory Rodrigues (-172) VS Brunno Ferreira (+146)
The heavy hitters return to the Octagon for a high-stakes rematch at UFC 326. In their first encounter, Brunno Ferreira stunned the division by knocking out Gregory “Robocop” Rodrigues late in the opening frame. Given the explosive nature of both men, there is no reason to expect this second meeting to deviate from the chaos of those previous four minutes. Both Brazilians possess legitimate one-punch knockout power and a predatory instinct for the finish.
Ferreira enters this bout riding a wave of immense momentum. He is currently on a three-fight winning streak, most recently securing the biggest victory of his career—a unanimous decision over perennial contender Marvin Vettori. Having already defeated Rodrigues once, Ferreira carries a psychological edge into the Octagon. Conversely, Rodrigues is fueled by the pursuit of redemption, remaining singularly focused on evening the score.
While both men are dangerous on the feet, the grappling narrative appears secondary. Rodrigues holds a modest 34% takedown accuracy, which faces a stiff test against Ferreira’s 61% takedown defense. Furthermore, Ferreira’s opportunistic submission game makes him a constant threat on the mat, likely deterring Rodrigues from initiating a wrestling-heavy approach.
The striking battle is where the volatility lies. Ferreira often baits his opponents, waiting for an entry before unleashing a high-volume, chaotic blitz to the head. His heavy low kicks also serve as a crucial tool for compromising an opponent’s balance and mobility. Statistically, both fighters show vulnerabilities; Rodrigues absorbs an average of 4.84 significant strikes per minute, while Ferreira sits at 4.00. These figures underscore a shared defensive deficit that favors a knockout outcome.
Ultimately, Ferreira’s speed and chaotic striking sequences may once again prove to be the deciding factor. If he can find the chin of Rodrigues—which has proven vulnerable in high-velocity exchanges—Ferreira has a clear path to a repeat performance. The sheer intensity and pace “The Hulk” brings to the pocket may simply be too much for Rodrigues to weather over fifteen minutes.
Final Pick and Prediction : Bruno Ferreira +150 or Fight Won’t Go The Distance
Rob Font (+205)Â VS Raul Rosas Jr. (-244)
A compelling “veteran vs. prospect” narrative takes center stage at UFC 326 as 38-year-old Rob Font faces off against the 21-year-old Raul Rosas Jr. The 17-year age gap marks one of the most significant disparities in UFC history, a factor that will likely play a defining role in the outcome of this contest.
It is no secret that Rosas Jr.’s primary objective is centered on high-level grappling and positional control. The young standout consistently seeks to bring his opponents to the canvas, prioritizing top control and a methodical grind to secure victory. However, his recent outings have shown marked improvement in his striking and overall stand-up progression.
Font, a perennial contender, has never been one to shy away from such challenges. He remains the ultimate litmus test for the division’s rising stars; most recently, he halted the momentum of the highly touted Jean Matsumoto, despite conceding seven takedowns in a gritty performance.
Statistically, Rosas Jr. holds a 41% takedown accuracy, but his true danger lies in his persistence. He often chains his attempts together, relentlessly pursuing the clinch or the double-leg until he finds success. Once the fight hits the mat, he requires very few resets; his ability to stabilize and maintain control is often enough to sweep the scorecards.
Conversely, Font’s 43% takedown defense suggests that he is far from impossible to take down. While he is notoriously difficult to keep pinned or submit, the volume of wrestling he will face here is immense. Font’s path to victory relies on stuffing the initial entries to create windows for his elite boxing to damage the younger man.
However, at 38, the physical toll of defending constant grappling exchanges may be the deciding factor. While finishing Font is a monumental task—he has only been finished once in his career, back in 2017 against Pedro Munhoz. Rosas Jr.’s suffocating pressure and youthful gas tank make him the favorite to grind out a decision.
Drew Dober (+103) VS Michael Johnson (-120)
In a fascinating matchup of divisional stalwarts, UFC 326 features a clash between two veterans looking to prove they still belong among the elite. This bout serves as a high-stakes litmus test to determine which veteran has more left in the tank for a final run.
Drew Dober recently snapped a three-fight skid with a clinical finish over Ludovit Klein (Prepolec). While some may point to his recent record as a sign of decline, a closer look reveals he has been competing against the absolute upper echelon of the division, including Renato Moicano, Jean Silva, and Manuel Torres. In contrast, Michael Johnson enters the Octagon on a three-fight winning streak. However, strength of schedule remains a talking point; Johnson’s recent victories. Darrius Flowers, Ottman Azaitar, and Daniel Zellhuber. Came against opponents currently struggling through their own losing streaks.
Both men are high-volume strikers who possess the wrestling credentials to mix in takedowns, but expect this contest to be contested primarily on the feet, where both feel most at home. From a technical standpoint, Johnson remains one of the cleanest strikers in the division, possessing the “class” and counter-striking ability to catch opponents moving in.
The deciding factor, however, will likely be the relentless pressure and chaotic offensive output of Dober. Dober is notorious for his “always-forward” style, drowning opponents in volume and power. While Johnson’s technical boxing is superior, maintaining that composure against Dober’s high-octane pace is a difficult task at this stage of his career. Look for Dober to leverage his durability and volume to find the decisive moment in the exchanges and secure a victory over the legendary “Menace.”
Final Pick and Prediction – Drew Dober +103
Where To Bet ?
🚨​Don’t leave it to the judges. 👊
​Boost your payouts for UFC 326! Get a 25% Profit Boost on any 3+ leg parlay when you include a “BMF Title Fight Will Not Go To Decision” prop” 💸
Powered by: @bet25com pic.twitter.com/yoCPkX9RxU
— MMA Pros Pick (@MMA_PROS_PICK_) March 5, 2026
